Olive R. Cawiding(KAIST) | Uncovering the Complex Relationship Between Climate and Dengue Incidence [Sci. Adv.] | 웨비나

학술웨비나 개최완료

Uncovering the Complex Relationship Between Climate and Dengue Incidence [Sci. Adv.]

조회982

2025년 03월 26일 (수) 오후 02시
Olive R. Cawiding(KAIST)

개요

							Dengue fever is an escalating public health challenge, further complicated by the impacts of climate change on control efforts. Yet, the full extent of climate's impact on dengue incidence remains poorly understood. To investigate this, we employed an advanced causal inference method to 16 regions in the Philippines, selected for their diverse climatic conditions. Unlike previous methods for detecting regulatory relationships, this method is capable of detecting nonlinear and joint effects of temperature and rainfall to dengue incidence.  Our findings show that temperature consistently increased dengue incidence throughout all the regions, while the impact of rainfall varied by location. Further analysis revealed a geographic pattern where regions with low variation in dry season length experience a negative impact of rainfall on dengue incidence, while regions with high variation in dry season length experience a positive impact. This study offers a fresh perspective on the relationship between climate and dengue incidence, emphasizing the need for tailored prevention strategies based on local climate conditions.