한빛사논문
Won-Mook Choi,1 Gi-Ae Kim,2 Jonggi Choi,1 Seungbong Han,3 and Young-Suk Lim1
1Department of Gastroenterology, Liver Center, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea 2Department of Internal Medicine, Kyung Hee University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea 3Department of Biostatistics, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
Corresponding Author: Young-Suk Lim
Abstract
BACKGROUND. It is unclear whether the level of serum hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA at baseline impacts the on-treatment risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in HBeAg positive, non-cirrhotic patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB).
METHODS. We conducted a multicenter cohort study including 2,073 entecavir- or tenofovir-treated, HBeAg-positive, non-cirrhotic, adult CHB patients with baseline HBV DNA levels ≥5.00 log10 IU/mL at three centers in Korea between January 2007 and December 2016. We evaluated the on-treatment incidence rate of HCC by baseline HBV DNA levels.
RESULTS. During a median 5.7 years of continuous antiviral treatment, 47 patients developed HCC (0.39 per 100 person-years). By Kaplan–Meier analysis, HCC risk was the lowest in those with baseline HBV DNA levels ≥8.00 log10 IU/mL, increased incrementally with decreasing viral load, and the highest with HBV DNA levels 5.00–5.99 log10 IU/mL (P<0.001). By multivariable analysis, baseline HBV DNA level was an independent factor that was inversely associated with HCC risk. Compared with HBV DNA ≥8.00 log10 IU/mL, the adjusted hazard ratios for HCC risk with HBV DNA 7.00–7.99 log10 IU/mL, 6.00–6.99 log10 IU/mL, and 5.00–5.99 log10 IU/mL were 2.48 (P=0.03), 3.69 (P=0.002), and 6.10 (P<0.001), respectively.
CONCLUSION. On-treatment HCC risk increased incrementally with decreasing baseline HBV DNA levels in the range of ≥5.00 log10 IU/mL in HBeAg-positive, non-cirrhotic, adult patients with CHB. Early initiation of antiviral treatment with a high viral load (≥8.00 log10 IU/mL) may maintain the lowest risk of HCC in those patients.
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